Sunday, September 27, 2020

Tax Record Treasure Trove From Trump - Eye Opening New York Times Article

Source:  The New York Times - Poltics - 2020 Elections - Donald Trump:   Written by David Leonhardt, updated at 7:08 pm EDT  on Sunday, 27 September 2020


18 Revelations From A Trove Of Trump Tax Records
   Times reporters have obtained decades of tax information the president has hidden from public view.  Here are some of the key findings.

 The New York Times has obtained tax-return data for President Trump and his companies that covers more than two decades.  Mr. Trump has long refused to release this information, making him the first president in decades to hide basic details about his finances.  His refusal has made his tax returns among the most sought-after documents in recent memory.
   Among the key findings of The Times's investigation:
*  Mr. Trump paid no federal income taxes in 11 of 18 years that The Times examined.  In 2017, after he became president, his tax bill was only $750.
*  He has reduced his tax bill with questionable measures, including a $72.9 million tax refund that is the subject of an audit by the Internal Revenue Service.
*  Many of his signature businesses, including his golf courses, report losing large amounts of money - losses that have helped him to lower his taxes.
*  The financial pressure on him is increasing as hundreds of millions of dollars in loans he personally guaranteed are soon coming due.
*  Even while declaring losses, he has managed to enjoy a lavish lifestyle by taking tax deductions on what most people would consider personal expenses, including residences, aircraft and $70,000 in hairstyling for television.
*  Ivanka Trump, while working as an employee of the Trump Organization, appears to have received "consulting fees" that also helped reduce the family's tax bill.
*  As president, he has received more money from foreign sources and U.S. interest groups than previously known.  The records do not reveal any previously unreported connections to Russia.
    It is important to remember that the returns are not an unvarnished look at Mr. Trump's business activity.  They are instead his own portrayal of his companies, compiled for the I.R.S.  But they do offer the most detailed picture yet available.
   Below is a deeper look at the takeaways.  The main article based on the investigation contains much more information, as does a timeline of the president's finances.  Dean Baquet, the executive editor, has written a note explaining why The Times is publishing these findings.
      The president's tax avoidance
  Mr. Trump has paid no federal income tax for much of the past two decades.
In addition to the 11 years in which he paid no taxes during the 18 years examined by The Times, he paid only $750 in each of the two most recent years - 2016 and 2017.
   He has managed to avoid taxes while enjoying the lifestyle of a billionaire - which he claims to be - while his companies cover the costs of what many would consider personal expenses.
  This tax avoidance sets him apart from most other affluent Americans.
Taxes on wealthy Americans have declined sharply over the past few decades, and many use loopholes to reduce their taxes below the statutory rates.  But most affluent people still pay a lot of federal income tax.
   In 2017, the average federal income rate for the highest-earning .001 percent of tax filers - that is, the most affluent 1/100,000th slice of the population - was 24.1 percent, according to the I.R.S.
   Over the past two decades, Mr. Trump has paid about $400 million less in combined federal income taxes than a very wealthy person who paid the average for that group each year.
   His tax avoidance also sets him apart from past presidents.
Mr. Trump may be the wealthiest U.S. president in history.  Yet he has often paid less in taxes than any other recent presidents.  Barack Obama and George W. Bush each regularly paid more than $100,000 a year - and sometimes much more - in federal income taxes while in office.
   Mr. Trump, by contrast, is running a federal government to which he has contributed almost no income tax revenue in many years.
   A large refund has been crucial to his tax avoidance.
Mr. Trump did face large tax bills after the initial success of "The Apprentice" television show, but he erased most of these tax payments through a refund.  Combined, Mr. Trump initially paid almost $95 million in federal income taxes over the 18 years.  He later managed to recoup most of that money, with interest, by applying for and receiving a $72.9 million tax refund, starting in 2010.
   The refund reduced his total federal income tax bill between 2000 and 2017 to an annual average of $1.4 million.  By comparison, the average American in the top .001 percent of earners paid about $25 million in federal income taxes each year over the same span.
   The $72.9 million refund has since become the subject of a long-running battle with the I.R.S.
When applying for the refund, he cited a giant financial loss that may be related to the failure of his Atlantic City casinos.  Publicly, he also claimed that he had fully surrendered his stake in the casinos.
   But the real story may be different from the one he told.  Federal law holds that investors can claim a total loss on an investment, as Mr. Trump did, only if they receive nothing in return.  Mr. Trump did appear to receive something in return: 5 percent of the new casino company that formed when he renounced his stake.
   In 2011, the I.R.S. began an audit reviewing the legitimacy of the refund.  Almost a decade later, the case remains unresolved, for unknown reasons, and could ultimately end up in federal court, where it could become a matter of public record.
      Business expenses and personal benefits
   Mr. Trump classifies much of the spending on his personal lifestyle as the cost of business.
His residences are part of the family business, as are the golf courses where he spends so much time.  He has classified the cost of his aircraft, used to shuttle him among his homes, as a business expense as well.  Haircuts - including more than $70,000 to style his hair during "The Apprentice" - have fallen into the same category.  So did almost $100,000 paid to a favorite hair and makeup artist of Ivanka Trump.
   All of this helps to reduce Mr. Trump's tax bill further, because companies can write off business expenses.
   Seven Springs, his estate in Westchester County, N.Y., typifies his aggressive definition of business expenses.
Mr. Trump bought the estate, which stretches over more than 200 acres in Bedford, N.Y., in 1996.  His sons Eric and Donald Jr. spent summers living there when they were younger.  "This is really our compound," Eric told Forbes in 2014.  "Today," the Trump Organization website continues to report, "Seven Springs is used as a retreat for the Trump family."
   Nonetheless, the elder Mr. Trump has classified the estate as an investment property, distinct from a personal residence.  As a result, he has been able to write off $2.2 million in property taxes since 2014 - even as his 2017 tax law has limited individuals to writing off only $10,000 in property taxes a year.
      The 'consulting fees'
   Across nearly all of his projects, Mr. Trump's companies set aside about 20 percent of income for unexplained 'consulting fees.'
These fees reduce taxes, because companies are able to write them off as a business expense, lowering the amount of final profit subject to tax.
   Mr. Trump collected $5 million on a hotel deal in Azerbaijan, for example, and reported $1.1 million in consulting fees.  In Dubai, there was a $630,000 fee on $3 million in income.  Since 2010, Mr. Trump has written off some $26 million in such fees.
   His daughter appears to have received some of these consulting fees, despite having been a top Trump Organization executive.
The Times investigation discovered a striking match:  Mr. Trump's private records show that his company once paid $747,622 in fees to an unnamed consultant for hotel projects in Hawaii and Vancouver, British Columbia.  Ivanka Trump's public disclosure forms - which she filed when joining the White House staff in 2017 - show that she had received an identical amount through a consulting company she co-owned.
      Money-losing businesses
   Many of the highest-profile Trump businesses lose large amounts of money.
Since 2000, he has reported losing more than $315 million at the golf courses that he often describes as the heart of his empire.  Much of that has been at Trump National Doral, a resort near Miami that he bought in 2012.  And his Washington hotel, opened in 2016, has lost more than $55 million.
   An exception: Trump Tower in New York, which reliably earns him more than $20 million in profits a year.
   The most successful part of the Trump business has been his personal brand.
The Times calculated that between 2004 and 2018, Mr. Trump made a combined $427.4 million from selling his image - an image of unapologetic wealth through shrewd business management.  The marketing of this image has been a huge success, even if the underlying management of many of the operating Trump companies has not been.
   Other firms, especially in real estate, have paid for the right to use the Trump name.  The brand made possible the "The Apprentice" - and the show then took the image to another level.
   Of course, Mr. Trump's brand also made possible his election as the first United States president with no prior government experience.
   But his unprofitable companies still served a financial purpose: reducing his tax bill.
The Trump Organization - a collection of more than 500 entities, virtually all of them wholly owned by Mr. Trump - has used the losses to offset the rich profits from the licensing of the Trump brand and other profitable pieces of its business.
   The reported losses from the operating businesses were so large that they often fully erased the licensing income, leaving the organization to claim that it earns no money and thus owes no taxes.  This pattern is an old one for Mr. Trump.  The collapse of major parts of his business in the early 1990s generated huge losses that he used to reduce his taxes for years afterward.
      Large bills looming
   With the cash from 'The Apprentice,' Mr. Trump went on his biggest buying spree since the 1980s.
"The Apprentice," which debuted on NBC in 2004, was a huge hit.  Mr. Trump received 50 percent of its profits, and he went on to buy more than 10 golf courses and multiple other properties.  The losses at these properties reduced his tax bill.
   But the strategy ran into trouble as the money from "The Apprentice" began to decline.  By 2015, his financial condition was worsening.
   His 2016 presidential campaign may have been partly an attempt to resuscitate his brand.
The financial records do not answer this question definitively.  But the timing is consistent: Mr. Trump announced a campaign that seemed a long shot to win, but was almost certain to bring him newfound attention, at the same time that his businesses were in need of a new approach.
27 September 2020, Trump said this New York Times article is
"fake news."  -  Looks like his makeup person got carried away
by the Pumpkin Spice season - look at the contrast between his
ears and face, around his eyes, and at his temple area...  He is 
such an egotistical ass!

   The presidency has helped his business.
Since he became a leading presidential candidate, he has received large amounts of money from lobbyists, politicians and foreign officials who pay to stay at his properties or join his clubs.  The Times investigation puts precise numbers on this spending for the first time.
   A surge of new members at the Mar-a-Lago club in Florida gave him an additional 5% million a year from the business since 2015.  The Billy Graham Evangelistic Association paid at least $397,602 in 2017 to the Washington Hotel,, where it held at least one event during its World Summit in Defense of Persecuted Christians.
   In his first two years in the White House, Mr. Trump received millions of dollars from projects in foreign countries, including $3 million from the Philippines, $2.3 millin from India and $1 million from Turkey.
   But the presidency has not resolved his core financial problem: Many of his businesses continue to lose money.
With "The Apprentice" revenue declining, Mr. Trump has absorbed the losses partly through one-time financial moves that may not be available to him again.
   In 2012, he took out a $100 million mortgage on the commercial space in Trump Tower.  He has also sold hundreds of millions worth of stock and bonds.  But his financial records indicate that he may have as little as $873,000 left to sell.
   He will soon face several major bills that could put further pressure on his finances.
He appears to have paid off none of the principal of the Trump Tower mortgage, and the full $100 million comes due in 2022.  And if he loses his dispute with the I.R.S. over the 2010 refund, he could owe the government more than $100 million (including interest on the original amount).
   He is personally on the hook for some of these bills.
In the 1990s, Mr. Trump nearly ruined himself by personally guaranteeing hundreds of millions of dollars in loans, and he has since said that he regretted doing so.  But he has taken the same step again, his tax records show.  He appears to be responsible for loans totaling $421 million, most of which is coming due within 4 years.
   Should he win re-election, his lenders could be placed in the unprecedented position of weighing whether to foreclose on a sitting president.  Whether he wins or loses, he will probably need to find new ways to use his brand - and his popularity among tens of millions of Americans - to make money.


Thursday, September 24, 2020

The White House Squatter Has Been Setting Up His Election Dispute For Almost a Year

Source:  POLITICO - 2020 Elections:  Written by Nick Niedzwiadek; posted at 6:04 pm EDT, Thursday, 24 September 2020

The 9 Most Notable Comments Trump Has Made About Accepting the Election Results
   The president has repeatedly cast doubt on the integrity of the 2020 election.


   President Donald Trump's refusal Wednesday to guarantee that he would accept the results and exit the White House if he is defeated caused an explosion of outrage and put congressional Republicans on the defensive about what would otherwise be a fundamental assumption of a democratic system.
   It also ratcheted up tensions amid a burgeoning Supreme Court fight that is sure to further embitter both sides of the political spectrum, as Trump has said he wants a successor to Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg in place in time to adjudicate possible legal disputes over contested election results.
   But for months Trump has raised doubts about the integrity of this year's elections, accusing Democrats of going to great lengths to skew results in their favor and making it a recurring theme in his reelection campaign - while providing little evidence to back up his grievous assertions.
   He's also off-handedly mused on a handful of occasions about getting more than the constitutionally permitted eight years in office because of the time in his first term "stolen" from him due to former special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation - comments that also raised concerns about Trump's commitment to the limits of presidential terms.
   White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany on Thursday declared that the president "will accept the result of a free and fair election," though Trump himself has claimed he will lose only if he is cheated out of victory.
   It's familiar ground for Trump, who in 2016 also took a wait-and-see approach to questions about whether he would accept the results of the election that ultimately went his way and has frequently adopted a never-say-never position to legislation, personnel moves and other decisions.
   Here are some of Trump's most notable statements casting doubt on the coming November 3rd election.
          24 September, from the White House lawn
  "We have to be very careful with the ballots," Trump said, when asked whether the election results are legitimate only if he wins.  "The ballots, that's a whole big scam."
  "We want to make sure the election is honest, and I am not sure that it can be.  I don't know that it can be with this whole situation of unsolicited ballots."
          23 September, during a White House press briefing
  "We're going to have to see what happens," the president said, when asked whether he'd commit to a peaceful transfer of power, "win, lose, or draw.  - You know I've been complaining about the ballots and the ballots are a disaster."
   "And the ballots are out of control," he continued.  "You know it.  And you know who knows it better than anybody else?  The Democrats."
   Earlier in the day, during a meeting with state attorneys general and Republican senators to discuss looming litigation against major tech companies, Trump said, "I think this scam that the Democrats are pulling, it's a scam [and] this scam will be before the United States Supreme Court; and I think having a 4 - 4 situation is not a good situation."
          13 September, during a Nevada campaign rally
  "The Democrats are trying to rig this election because that's the only way they're going to win," he said.
          24 August, during his Republican National Committee acceptance speech
  "The only way they can take this election away from us is if this is a rigged election," Trump said.
          17 August, at a rally in Wisconsin
  "The only way we're going to lose this election id if the election is rigged, remember that," Trump said.  "It's the only way we're going to lose this election.  So we have to be careful."
  "The only way they're going to win is that way, and we can't let that happen."
          2 August, in a televised interview with Axios journalist Jonathan Swan
  "There is no way you can go through a mail-in vote without massive cheating," Trump said, when asked what it would look like if a sitting president didn't accept the election results.
  "You could have a case where this election won't be decided on the evening of November 3rd.  This election could be declared two months later.  It could be decided many months later.  ...  You know why?  Because lots of things will happen during that period of time, especially when you have tight margins.  Lots of things can happen,  There's never been anything like this."
          30 July via Twitter
  "With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good), 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history," Trump wrote.  "It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely and safely vote???"
   Trump tried to clarify his tweet later that day, saying, "Do I want to see a day change?  No, but I don't want to see a crooked election," before doubling down in a tweet two hours later.
  "Must know Election results on the night of the Election, not days, months, or even years later!" Trump wrote.
          19 July interview on "Fox News Sunday"
  Asked directly by host Chris Wallace whether he would accept the results of the election, Trump said he'd "have to see" and "it depends."
  "I'm not going to just say yes," Trump said.  "I'm not going to say no."
   "Are you suggesting that you might not accept the results of the election?" Wallace asked in a follow up.
  "No.  I have to see," Trump said. 

Friday, September 18, 2020

Biden's Town Hall Fact Checks

Source: CNN - Politics - 2020 Election - Facts First:  Written by Holmes Lybrand and Tara Subramaniam and with contributions by Daniel Dale; updated at 3:10 pm EDT on Friday, 18 September 2020

Fact Checking Joe Biden's CNN Town Hall

   CNN  hosted a drive-in town hall with 2020 Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in Pennsylvania on Thursday night.  It was Biden's first prime time town hall since accepting the nomination.
   Over the course of the night, Biden took questions ranging from farming regulations, the military presence in Afghanistan, to how he would approach the coronavirus pandemic.
   Biden made a few errors and misleading statements on the drive-in stage.
   Here's a look at the facts:
          On Redfield And Masks
*1  Biden claimed Dr. Robert Redfield, director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, contradicted President Donald Trump's stance on mask usage by suggesting widespread mask wearing could save 100,000 lives between now and January.
    "By the way, his own CDC director contradicted him recently.  He said, if, in fact, you just wore this mask, nothing else but this mask, you would save between now and January another 100,000 lives," Biden said.
Facts First:  While Redfield did advocate for wearing masks to stop the spread of coronavirus in a congressional hearing Wednesday, and Trump sis later say that Red field misspoke, CNN could not find any record of Redfield providing these specific numbers concerning the number of lives that could be saved by mask-wearing.
   Testifying before a Senate Appropriations subcommittee on the government's response to the coronavirus pandemic, Redfield said, "I'm not going to comment directly about the President but I am going to comment as the CDC director that face masks, these face masks, are the most important, powerful public health tool we have."
   "I will continue to appeal to all Americans, all individuals in our country, to embrace these face coverings," Redfield added.  "I've said it, if we did it for six, eight, 10, 12 weeks, we'd bring this pandemic under control."
   He made headlines for further saying, "I might even go so far as to say that this face mask is more guaranteed to protect me against Covid than when I take the Covid vaccine."
   Reached for comment, the Biden campaign pointed CNN to the latest forecast from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).  As of early September, the IHME model predicts 224,000 more people in the US could die from the coronavirus by January, but with near-universal mask use the number of projected additional fatalities could decrease by more than half, or at least by 100,000.
   CNN has reached out to the CDC for comment.
          Bible And Bunker
*2  During the town hall, Biden attacked Trump for posing for pictures while holding a Bible in front of a church across from the White House after protesters were forcibly removed from a park across from the White House.  Biden suggested that Trump held the Bible upside down, and then retreated back to a bunker.
   Biden said the protesters were removed so Trump could "walk across to a Protestant church and hold a Bible upside down - I don't know if he ever opened it - upside down, and then go back to a bunker in the White House."
Facts First:  Biden gets two facts wrong here.  Trump did not hold a Bible upside down and his visit to the bunker was a few days before the church and Bible photo op.
   On May 29, Trump was briefly taken to a White House bunker amid intense protests that evening.  This was three days before the visit out side of St. John's Church.
   While posing in front of the church, Trump held a Bible out for the cameras.  Photos and videos show that Trump held the Bible right side up.  *****Note from BND: Multiple news sources stated that Trump held the Bible upside down - I read articles and heard news reports stating the Bible was upside down.*****
           Ivy League
*3  According to Biden, the media claimed his election would set a precedent.
   "When you guys started talking on television about Biden, if he wins will be the first person without an Ivy League degree to be elected President, I'm thinking who the hell makes you think I have to have an Ivy League degree to be President?"
Facts First:  Not all past presidents graduated from college, let alone from the Ivy League.  If elected, Biden would be the first president without an Ivy League degree since Ronald Reagan.
           Barr's Comments On Lockdowns
*4  Biden expressed incredulity that Attorney General William Barr had said pandemic lockdowns are "equivalent to slavery."
Facts First:  Barr did not say lockdowns are "equivalent" to slavery.  Rather, he said, "Other than slavery, which was a different kind of restraint, this is the greatest intrusion on civil liberties in American history."
   Barr's claim is absurd given that American history has involved the internment of citizens of Japanese origin, official segregation of Black people, and the killing and forced relocation of Native Americans, but Biden did not accurately describe what he said.
           State Of the Union
*5  During the town hall, Biden criticized Trump for not warning the US about the coronavirus during this year's State of the Union address.
   "Imagine had (Trump) at the State of the Union stood up and said - when back in January I wrote an article for USA Today saying, 'We've got a pandem - we've got a real problem' - imagine if he had said something.  How many more people would be alive?" Biden said.
Facts First:  Trump spent 20 seconds of his February 4 State of the Union address on the coronavirus.  A few days later, Trump told Bob Woodward privately that the coronavirus is more deadly than the flu, after speaking with Chinese President Xi Jinping earlier that day.  It's unclear what all Trump knew or believed about the coronavirus at the time of the address, though he continued to downplay it for weeks.
  Here's what Trump said about the virus during the State of the Union address:  "Protecting Americans' health also means fighting infectious diseases.  We are coordinating with the Chinese government and working closely together on the coronavirus outbreak in China.  My administration will take all necessary steps to safeguard our citizens from this threat."
   The USA Today article Biden wrote on January 27 criticized Trump's rhetoric around and approach to the coronavirus, writing, "The possibility of a pandemic is a challenge Donald Trump is unqualified to handle as president."
 ****** Note from BND:  I distinctly remember reading that several scientists, including epidemiologists, had sent several communications to the White House in early and mid-January regarding their concerns and fears that the novel coronavirus that had first been reported to the CDC on 31 January 2019, was a monstrous virus that could - and probably would - quickly become a pandemic.  This group urged the White House administration to quickly set up the national infrastructure needed to deal with a raging pandemic that would sicken and kill huge numbers of Americans.  They were told, essentially, to mind their own business....  That the 45th administration knew how to handle these things, and that they were alarmists.  (Sound familiar?) ****** 

False Claims Abound At 45's Minosee, Wisconsin Rally

Source: CNN - Politics - 2020 Election - Facts First:  Written by Daniel Dale; updated at 11:23 am EDT, Friday, 18 September 2020 

Fact Check:  Boasting and Attacking Biden, Trump Makes At Least 25 False Claims At Wisconsin Rally

   As former Vice President Joe Biden was participating in a CNN town hall in Moosic, Pennsylvania, on Thursday night, and making a handful of false or misleading claims (**** see next post ****), President Donald Trump was speaking at a campaign rally in Mosinee, Wisconsin.
   And repeating at least 25 of his usual false claims.
   We'll address them in brief because we've fact checked them before:
          Pre-Existing Medical Conditions
*1  Trump claimed again that Biden would "destroy protections for pre-existing conditions."  He later said that he, Trump, would "always protect patients with pre-existing conditions."
Facts First:  This is not only false but a complete reversal of reality.  The protections for people with pre-existing conditions were created by the very Obama administration in which Biden served as Vice President - as part of Obamacare, the 2010 law Biden has vowed to preserve and strengthen if elected President.
  Trump, conversely, has tried repeatedly to get bills passed that would have weakened these protections.  He is now trying to get the entirety of Obamacare struck down by the courts.
          Veterans Choice
*2  Trump claimed again that he is the one who got the Veterans Choice health care program passed.
Facts First:  President Barack Obama signed the Choice program into law in 2014; it was an initiative of two Senators Trump has repeatedly criticized, Bernie Sanders and the late John McCain.  In 2018, Trump signed a law, the VA MISSION Act, that expanded and modified the Choice program.
          "Acid Washed" E-Mails
*3  Trump claimed again that Hillary Clinton had both deleted and "acid washed" e-mails.
Facts First:  "Acid washed" e-mails are not a real thing.  A company working for Clinton deleted some e-mails in 2015 using a free software program called BleachBit; Trump has, for years now, turned "bleach" into "acid."
          The Estate Tax
*4  Trump claimed again that he "got rid of" the estate tax.
Facts First:  Trump has not eliminated the federal estate tax.  His 2017 tax law raised the threshold at which the tax must be paid, from $5.5 million to $11.2 million for an individual, but did not get rid of the tax entirely.
   Trump began by saying that he "virtually" eliminated the tax, not completely eliminated it, but that's still an exaggeration.  And then he added, "We got rid of it."
          Harris and Biden
*5  Trump spoke again about disputes between Biden and vice presidential nominee Senator Kamala Harris when they were rivals during the Democratic primary: "She accused him of - that he was a racist, right?  That he was a racist."
Facts First:  Harris criticized Biden during a June 2019 debate for having spoken positively about his past work with two segregationist senators, saying this was "hurtful," but she began her remarks by explicitly saying, "I do not believe you are a racist."
          CNN Cameras
*6  Trump repeated his regular suggestion that CNN turns off its cameras at his rallies when he criticizes CNN, saying he can see the red lights go off on cameras at the back of the room.
Facts First:  CNN does not Turn off its cameras when he criticizes CNN, and CNN's photojournalists at his rallies do not use any red light when they are recording.
          Penalties For Damaging Monuments
*7  Trump said he had found an old law under which "you get 10 years in prison if you knock down a statue or monument."
Facts First:  Ten years is far from a guaranteed penalty under the two laws Trump might have been referring to.  Rather, it is a maximum discretionary sentence a judge could choose to impose but also could choose not to; judges are also free to impose fines on guilty people.
          Tariffs On China
*8  Trump claimed again that China is paying the billions in tariff revenue Trump's administration has distributed to farmers.
Facts First:  Study after study has found that Americans are bearing the cost of these tariffs.  And American importers, not Chinese exporters, make the actual tariff payments to the US government.
          The History Of Tariffs On China
*9  Trump said the US has never before received "10 cents" from China.
Facts First:  Again, it's not true that China is paying the tariffs - and Trump's claim that the Treasury has never received "10 cents" from tariffs on China is also false.  The US had had tariffs on China for more than two centuries; Obama imposed new tariffs on China; FactCheck.org reported that the US generated an "average of $12.3 billion in custom duties a year from 2007 to 2016, according to the U.S. International Trade Commission DataWeb.
   China also made tens of billions of annual purchases of US exports under Obama - more than $100 billion in goods purchases every year from 2011 through 2016."
          The Legitimacy Of Polling
*10  Trump said polls that showed him trailing in 2016 were "suppression polls" designed to deflate his supporters.
Facts First:  There is simply no evidence that any major scientific poll was manipulated to hurt Trump.
          Judicial  Vacancies
*11  Trump said of the federal judiciary: "I want to thank President Obama.  He left us 142 openings."
Facts First:  Trump was exaggerating.  There were 104 court vacancies on 1 January 2017, 19 days before Trump took office, according to Russell Wheeler, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution who tracks judicial appointments.
   ****** Note from BND: Also, Republican Majority Leader Senator Mitch McConnell had been refusing to allow the Senate vote on judicial appointees for the last 6 months of the Obama administration. ****** 
          The History of Judicial Vacancies
*12  Trump continued by saying again that other presidents were not left any judicial vacancies at all: "Nobody gets left one opening; a federal judgeship is a big deal.  Nobody gets left any openings."
Facts First:  It's not true that presidents are usually left no openings.  According to Wheeler, there were 53 vacancies on 1 January 2009, just before Obama took office; 80 vacancies on 1 January 2001, just before George W. Bush took office; and 107 vacancies on 1 January 1993, just before Bill Clinton took office.
          Travel Restrictions On China and Europe
*13  Trump claimed again that he "banned" travel from China and Europe to combat the pandemic.
Facts First:  While Trump did restrict travel from China and from much of Europe, neither policy was a "ban": both made exemptions for travel from US citizens, permanent residents, many of their families, and some others - and the restrictions on Europe exempted entire European countries.
          The Iran Deal
*14  Trump said again that the Obama administration's nuclear deal gave Iran $150 billion.
Facts First:  The 2015 nuclear deal with Iran allowed Iran to access tens of billions of its own assets - not US government money - that had been frozen in foreign financial institutions because of sanctions; experts say the total was significantly lower than $150 billion.
          NASA
*15  Trump said again that NASA was "closed down" under Obama.
Facts First:  Trump is entitled to criticize Obama's handling of NASA, but it's a clear exaggeration to say NASA was "closed down."  A launch Trump attended in June, in which NASA astronauts were aboard a private company's spacecraft, was the product  of a commercial crew program created under Obama.
   "It is NOT correct that NASA was dead under the Obama administration," said John Logsdon, the founder of the Space Policy Institute at George Washington University, where he is professor emeritus, and a former member of the NASA Advisory Council; "much was started, like the commercial crew program."
          Charter Schools
*16  Trump claimed Biden has "vowed to ban charter schools."  
Facts First:  Biden has not vowed to ban charter schools.  Rather, a task force appointed by Biden and his formal rival, Senator Bernie Sanders, proposed to ban for-profit charter schools in particular from receiving federal funding.
   The task force took a skeptical approach to charters more broadly, but it did not propose anything close to a complete ban.
          A Democratic Primary in New York    
*17  Railing against mail-in voting, Trump said again that "they can't even find the ballots" in a New York Democratic congressional primary won by Representative Carolyn Maloney.  
Facts First:  It's  not true  that the ballots have gone missing in this primary.  There was a legal dispute about the fact that a large number of ballots were rejected for non-fraud reasons, such as missing signatures, but those ballots didn't vanish.
          The Green New Deal And Planes
*18  Trump claimed again that the Democrats' Green New Deal proposal would mean "getting rid of your planes.  No more airplane trips."
Facts First:  The Green New Deal does not call for the elimination of planes.  The resolution calls for "overhauling transportation systems in the United States to remove pollution and greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector."
   Trump was likely referring to a "FAQ" document that appeared on the website of a leading Green New Deal proponent, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - but that document, which was quickly deleted, was never endorsed by the other backers of the Green New Deal.
          Hirono And the Green New Deal
*19  Trump told his familiar story about how Hawaii Senator Mazie Hirono praised the Green New Deal, then was told "you basically can't fly in an airplane."  He joked that they then said they would build a bridge from the mainland to Hawaii.
Facts First:  That is not what happened.  When told by a reporter that the Green New Deal would try to eliminate air travel and move to high-speed rail across the country, Hirono said that would be "pretty hard for Hawaii," then laughed.  She did not explain her laughter at that moment, but as she explained later, the Green New Deal resolution Hirono had endorsed does not actually call for the elimination of air travel.
          Wind Power
* 20  Trump told his usual semi-comedic story about how, using wind power, you won't be able to watch Trump speeches on television if the wind isn't blowing at the time.
Facts First:  Using wind power as part of a mix of power sources does not cause power outages, as the federal Department of Energy explains on its website.  "Studies have shown that the grid can accommodate large penetrations of variable renewable power without sacrificing reliability, and without the need for 'back-up' generation," the Department of Energy says.
   The Department of Energy explains that although power grid operators need to account for the variability that comes with using wind and solar power, they know how to manage, since "all forms of power generation," including non-renewable sources, "may sometimes not operate when called upon."
          Biden And Private Health Insurance
*21  Trump claimed again that Biden "wants to wipe out 180 million private health care plans that people love."
Facts First:  Biden does not.  While Biden does endorse a "public option" to allow people to opt in to a Medicare-like government insurance plan, Biden has not agreed to anything like the "Medicare for All" single-payer proposal Bernie Sanders is known for, which would eliminate most private insurance plans.  In fact Biden and Sanders clashed on the issue during the Democratic primary.
   It's possible that, over time, a popular public option would affect private insurers' willingness to offer some private plans.  But the Trump campaign is suggesting Biden is actively proposing to wipe out private insurance, an that is not the case at all.
          Pelosi And Impeachment
*22  Trump said again that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was blindsided by an inaccurate account, offered by Rep. Adam Schiff, of Trump's July 2019 phone call with Ukraine's president.  Trump claimed that Pelosi had decided to pursue impeachment of Trump when she thought Schiff's version was actually what was on Trump's call, but then, when Trump revealed the truth, Pelosi said, "What the hell did you get me into?"
Facts First:  Trump's timeline was the reverse of reality: Schiff delivered his at-least-confusing rendition of Trump's call after, not before, the White House released a rough transcript of the call; the reason for the controversy about Schiff's rendition at a congressional committee hearing was that people could see that it was an embellished paraphrase.
          The National Guard and Minnesota
* 23  Trump took credit for quelling unrest in Minneapolis after the killing of George Floyd.  He then said, "Now, they shouldn't have allowed it to go on for 11 days.  They should've called us immediately."
Facts First:  It was the Democratic Governor of Minnesota, National Guard veteran Tim Walz, who activated the Guard to deal with violent protests; he did so before Trump publicly threatened to send in the Guard himself.  And Walz didn't let the violence go on for 11 days: he activated the state Guard two days after the first protest violence, then activated the entire state Guard two days after that.
   You can read a full timeline at:  
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/01/politics/fact-check-trump-walz-minnesota-national-guard/index.html 


 

Tuesday, September 8, 2020

More Idiocy From the Trump Podium at the White House - 37 Absurd Statements

Source: CNN - Politics - Donald Trump - 2020 Election: The PO!NT - Analysis by Chris Cillizza, Editor-at-Large, updated at 12:11 pm EDT on Tuesday, 8 September 2020

The 37 Most Absurd Lines From Donald Trump's Labor Day "News Conference"

   President Donald Trump held a news conference gave a speech on Labor Day, a grievance-and-falsehood-filled address that was more fitting for a campaign rally than the White House.
   I went through his remarks and pulled out the lines you need to see.  They're below.

1.  "Happy Labors  - -  Labor Day."
   And away we go!

2.  "As you probably see, the numbers are terrific.  So we called some people, wished them a very happy Labor Day.  And they told us how they're doing."
   What numbers?  What People?  How are they doing?

3.  "The unemployment rate plunged, really to the surprise of many, all the way down to 8 - 8.4% in August.  And that's the second-largest single-month decline on record.  And we have the first; we have both of them.  So we have two number one declines.  Decline meaning positive, not negative."
   It is true that the unemployment rate dropped to 8.4% in August.  But the reason we have had such big drops in the unemployment rate is that it soared to over 14% during late spring due to the coronavirus shutdown.  You can only have such big drops if you have big increases, too.  Also "decline meaning positive." Or put another way: "Not "bad" meaning "bad" but "bad" meaning "good.""

4.   "We have a V shape; it's probably a super V."
   Trump is talking about the shape of the economic recovery.  A "V"-shaped recovery is one where things collapse quickly and recover quickly.  A "Super V" recovery is, umm, not a thing.  (Joe Biden has said this is a K-shaped recovery.)

5.   "Under Operation Warp Speed, we've pioneered groundbreaking therapies, reducing the fatality rate 85% since April."
   What's really changed since April is that we have identified lots more people who have the virus, which, as this article in Psychiatric Times notes, has "increased the size of the denominator, while the numerator has remained relatively unchanged."  Meaning the number of people dying is not all that different.  We are simply better able to ID who has mild or asymptomactic cases far better.

6.   "This could've taken two or three years, and instead it's going to be - going to be done in a very short period of time; could even have it during the month of October."
   Trump is floating the idea of a vaccine being ready "during the month of October."  Put a pin in this.  We'll come back to it later.

7.   "Joe Biden, the radical socialist Democrats would immediately collapse the economy.  If they got in, they would collapse it.  You'll have a crash the likes of which you've never seen before."
   Overstatement, thy name is Donald Trump.

8.   "Biden's also pledged to demolish the US energy industry and implement the same policies causing blackouts in California.  He wants to have things lit up with wind."
   "He wants to have things lit up with wind." - The President of the United States

9.   "So we're setting records in jobs, we're setting records in numbers.  And you're going to see some very big numbers."
   So you say we are setting records in "numbers," eh?  Tell me more...

10.    "Biden wants to surrender our country to the virus, he wants to surrender our families to the violent left-wing mob, and he wants to surrender our jobs to China - our jobs and our economic well-being."
   He does?  How have I not heard about this before????

11.   "Our farmers wouldn't be existent right now.  Right now, they're very happy."
   "Why US Farmers Are Falling Out of Love With Donald Trump"  - article, Financial Times

12.   "We're way ahead on the nuclear front.  We've upgraded our nuclear."
   Everyone knows upgraded nuclear is the best kind of nuclear.

13.   "When reports come out that certain countries don't really like me too much, that's not because of my personality, although it could be that also, frankly."
   [Trump nods his head slowly]

14.   "And Biden doesn't  have a clue.  He - you know know he doesn't have a clue.  Everybody knows he doesn't have a clue.  In prime time, he wasn't good, and now it's not prime time."
   Wait, this is not "prime time?"  When was "prime time?"  Did I somehow miss it and not even know?

15.   "His son, Where's Hunter? - - Where's Hunter?  I call him 'Where's Hunter?' - walked away with one and a half billion dollars to manage, even though he never did that before."
   "I cal him 'Where's Hunter'?" - The President of the United States....  Also, this claim about how much money Hunter Biden made in China is false.

16.   "'I won't give them the billion dollars,' he says. 'I won't give them unless they get rid of that prosecutor,' and the, voila, they got rid of the prosecutor.  And the press doesn't even want to talk about it."
   The press has investigated this claim in regard to Joe Biden's role in Ukraine.  And nothing Trump says here is accurate.

Multiple small boats in a "boat parade"  for Trump were sunk when
a larger vessel blasted by, leaving sinking boats due to wake waves.
Poor guys who sunk - Trump doesn't like losers!

17.   "I'm not saying the military is in love with me.  The soldiers are.  The top people in the Pentagon probably aren't because they want to do nothing but fight wars so that all those wonderful companies that make the bombs and make the planes and make everything else stay happy."
   Holy crap.  This is the President suggesting that the leaders of the US military don't like him because he is trying to break up their war machine.  Very normal stuff!

18.   "We defeated 100% of the ISIS caliphate.  100%.  When I was in, when I came in it was a mess.  It was all over.  They have it i a certain color, all ISIS.  A year later I said, 'Where is it?'  'It's all gone, sire, because of you.'  It's all gone because of my philosophy."
   In which Donald Trump says he personally defeated ISIS.  (Also, this is not true.

19.   "I talk about it cause today's Labor Day.  It's a good time to talk about when we're being ripped off by countries, but nobody's even close to China."
   Proposed new Labor Day slogan: "A day to remember how we are being ripped off by other countries!"  That could catch on...

20.   "And Biden's a stupid person.  You know that.  You're not going to write it.  You know that."
   OK, so reporters should just write the words "Biden is a stupid person?"  Like, that doesn't feel like what journalists do?

21.   "If Biden wins, China wins, because China will own this country."
   Again, how did I not know about this?  Seems relevant!

22.   "You're going to have to take that off, please.  Just - you can take it off.  You're - you're - how - how many feet are you away?  Well, if you don't take it off, you're very muffled.  So if you would take it off it would be a lot easier ..."
   In which Donald Trump tells a reporter (Jeff Mason of Reuters) to take off his mask while asking a question.  Sure!  Nothing to see here!
 ***** Note from BND -  Jeff Mason refused to remove his face mask, and Trump proved he's going deaf to some degree... *****

23.   "John McCain liked wars.  I will be a better warrior than anybody, but when we fight a war, we're going to win them."
   Worth noting:  Senator John McCain was imprisoned for five years in a North vietnamese prison camps after he was shot down.  Donald Trump received five deferments to keep him out of the Vietnam War.
  ***** Note from BND:  At the 2015 Family Leadership Summit in Ames, Iowa, speaking to Frank Luntz, who hosted the event,  Trump called Senator McCain a "loser" for failing to win the Presidency in 2008.  "He was a war hero because he was captured.  I like people who weren't captured.  ...  I don't like losers," said the real-estate salesman, who had filed for corporate bankruptcy four times. *****

24.   "But I wasn't a fan, but I respect people and I respect a lot of people."
   So, Trump wasn't a McCain fan.  But he respects people.  In fact, he respects "a lot" of people.

25.   "Who would say a thing like that?  Only an animal would say a thing like that.  There's nobody that has more respect for our military, but the people that gave their lives in the military - there's nobody - and I think John Kelly knows that.  I think he would know that, I think he knows that from me."
   At this point, CNN, Fox News, The Washington Post, and the Associated Press (at least) have confirmed that the original reporting of The Atlantic that Trump denigrated soldiers who died in war.  So....

26.   "I understand helicopters very well."
   Uh huh.

27.   "I've done very well with deals, OK?  That's what I do."
   "Has Trump Declared Bankruptcy Four Or Six Times?"  - article, The Washington Post

28.   "They spied on my campaign, and if they were Democrats, they would have been in jail two years ago.  They would have been in jail - literally, if this side were the Democrats, they would have been in jail two years ago for 50-year terms for treason and other things."
   No, "they" didn't.

29.   "They spied on my campaign, and that includes Biden and Obama.  They spied on my campaign trying to defeat me."
   Again, no.

30.   "But let me just - let me just tell you something: President Obama and Biden - Sleepy Joe - he knew everything that was happening.  They were spying on my campaign, and they got caught.  Now let's see what happens."
   NOPE!

31.   "And the dirtiest fight of all is the issuance of 80 million ballots, unrequested.  They're not requested.  They're just sending 80 million ballots all over the country - 80 million, non-requested.  I call them unsolicited ballots.  That's going to be the dirtiest fight of all."
   Estimates are that 80 million people may vote by mail this year amid Covid-19 concerns.  But that is not what Trump is saying here.  He is saying that "they" are sending 80-million "non-requested" ballots to people.  I have no idea where he got that number, but one thing to make clear: What's being sent out is mail-in ballot applications, not mail-in ballots.  If someone fills out the application, a mail-in ballot is only sent if their information matches what is on file with the elections department in their state of residence.

32.   "And if you look at the last period of six months, take a look at the races where they've sent ballots out, take a look at Carolyn Maloney, whose race should be redone because she won that race totally unfairly to her opponent."
   Simply not true.   The vote counting in Maloney's district took far too long, yes.  But  no one alleged wrongdoing in the count.

33.   "They've been looking at me for four years.  They found nothing.  Four years, think of it.  For four years.  From the day I came down the escalator I've been under investigation by sleaze and they have found nothing.  They found nothing."
   Donald Trump's 2016 campaign chairman, his personal fixer, his White House political adviser, his political Svengali, and his national security adviser  - among others!! - have been convicted of federal crimes.  So........

34.   "So we're going to have this - a vaccine very soon, maybe even before a very special date.  You know what date I'm talking about."
   Trump, who has blasted Democrats for making the vaccine political, just comes right out and says he wants to have the vaccine before election day.  OK.

35.   "But you have to look at [Kamala Harris] a little bit more closely, because obviously Joe's not doing too well, so you're going to have to look at her a little bit too closely."
   There is zero evidence that "Joe's not doing well."

36.    "We have to have - if we get the vaccine early, that's a great thing, whether it's politics or not.  Now, do benefits inure if you're able to get something ahead of schedule?  I - I guess maybe they do.  But the most important thing to me is saving lives.  It's the most important thing."
   He literally just said the vaccine would be available "before a very special date."  Like, am I on crazy pills here?
  ***** Note from BND:   His comment on benefits inuring if something is ahead of schedule....  He's trying to convince the public to vote for him because he has miraculously forced the FDA and CDC to approve a vaccine without thorough testing! *****

37.   "I want to thank you all, and I just want to wish you a very happy Labor Day.  And we're having tremendous success, whether it's on the vaccines, whether it's on the pandemic - the - the plague that came in from China that China should've never let happen, cause I will never feel the same about China."
   Yeah, this feels like a good place to end.

Sunday, September 6, 2020

Kentucky Derby 2020 Results, Pay Outs, and Strangeness

 In 2020, we've learned to expect strange news and odd happenings.  Yesterday, a "boat parade" in support of President Trump in Texas, had four participating boats sunk by a much larger vessel, whose captain decided that he should be leading the flotilla; so he gunned his engines and flew past the other boats.  The waves from that larger boat's wake were what sunk the four other boats....  Who'd'a thunk it?
   The same sort of strange happenings infected the 2020 Kentucky Derby, too.  Originally, there were 18 entries for the classic race, run without a crowd in the grandstand.  There are scratches, of course, in the normal run of things.  The first scratch was King Guillermo, who spiked a fever, and vacated post number 6.  Then Finnick The Fierce was scratched because of a change in his walk and running - a sore foot - so the Gate 1 starter was gone.  Then, in the paddock, as the horses were being saddled, Thousand Words, trained by Bob Baffert, reared and flipped over, taking assistant trainer Jimmie Barnes with him.  Following protocol, the colt was immediately scratched, leaving Baffert with only one horse in the race - and not yet aware that his assistant trainer was in an ambulance on the way to the hospital, after getting Thousand Words back into his stall.  Barnes has a smashed wrist and will have an operation in California later this week to put pins in place for his wrist to heal....
Thousand Words going over in the Kentucky Derby paddock

  The betting favorite as the horses entered the starting gate was Tiz The Law, who had won the Belmont Stakes on 20 June, and the Travers in August.  We were told by the announcers that the four horses to watch were all on the outside, being (in post number) Ny Traffic, Honor A.P., Tiz The Law, and Authentic.  Authentic had seemed to barely hang on for his last racing win, by a nose, at 1 1/8 miles; most commentators agreed that the 1 1/4 Derby would be too far for the colt to win.
  Now, I have to disagree (being anal-retentive and a tad OCD) with the headlines last night and this morning that state Authentic led the race "wire to wire."  Authentic is a slow breaker from the starting gate.  He might have been in the first 8 stepping out of the gate, but he was not the first, so he couldn't have led "wire to wire." (Just my little nit-pick there.)  Anyway, John R Velasquez allowed the colt to find his stride, then took him to the lead just before the first turn - and then he led all the way to the finish line.  Tiz The Law engaged Authentic in the stretch, but just could not pass the bay son of Into Mischief.  
   Authentic ran the 1 1/4 miles (10 furlongs) in 2:00.61 and won by 1 1/4 lengths.  Tiz The Law was second by 2 lengths, ahead of Mr. Big News ( a long shot) in third, who was 1 3/4 lengths ahead of Honor A.P. in fourth.
Authentic, center, winning the Derby; Tiz The Law at left
with white shadow roll

   In betting payouts (each of these a $2 bet), Authentic paid $18.80 to win; Tiz The Law paid $3.40 to place; and and Mr. Big News paid $16.80 to show.  The Exacta (again, all $2 bets) paid $41; the Trifecta paid $2,623.60; and the Superfecta paid $15,851.60.
   It was announced today that Authentic and Thousand Words will both be entered in the (now third leg of the Triple Crown) Preakness Stakes, to be run October 4 at Pimlico Racetrack.  In this odd year, the Preakness will be run 4 weeks after the Derby, instead of the usual 2 weeks.  However, it will be run at it's normal length 1 3/16 miles, and at it's usual track, "Old Hilltop" outside of Baltimore, Mayland.
   To top of the weirdness of the 2020 Kentucky Derby, after Thousand Words flipped in the paddock, in the Winner's Circle after the race, Authenic spooked at something, and sent several people flying, including his trainer, Bob Baffert.  Baffert, seeing the colt start to spin uncontrollably, pushed several people to safety, before being hit by Authentic's hindquarters....   No one was harmed, thankfully.
Bob Baffert, white hair and blue jacket, going down as Authentic
spins in Winner's Circle

The complete order of finish in the 2020 Kentucky Derby:
1   -  Authentic
2   -  Tiz The Law
3   -  Mr. Big News
4   -  Honor A.P.
5   -  Max Player
6   -  Storm The Court
7   -  Enforceable
8   -  Ny Traffic
9   -  Necker Island
10 -  Major Fed
11 -  Sole Volante
12 -  Winning Impression
13 -  Money Moves
14 -  Attachment Rate
15 -  South Bend


 

Thursday, September 3, 2020

The President Calls Those Killed in Action "Losers" and "Suckers"

 Source: The Atlantic - Politics:  Written by Jeffrey Goldberg; posted at 5:32 pm EDT on Thursday, 3 September 2020

    Trump:  Americans Who Died In War Are "Losers" and "Suckers"

The President has repeatedly disparaged the intelligence of service members, and asked that wounded veterans be kept out of military parades, multiple sources tell The Atlantic.

    When President Donald Trump canceled a visit to the Aisne-Marne American Cemetery  near Paris in 2018, he blamed rain for the last-minute decision, saying that "the helicopter couldn't fly" and that the Secret Service wouldn't drive him there.  Neither claim was true.
The Aisne-Marne American Cemetery

   Trump rejected the idea of the visit because he feared his hair would become disheveled by the rain, and because he did not believe that it was important to honor American war dead, according to four people with firsthand knowledge of the discussion that day.  In a conversation with senior staff members on the morning of the scheduled visit, Trump said, "Why should I go to that cemetery?  It's filled with losers."  In a separate conversation on the same trip, Trump referred to the more than 1,800 marines who lost their lives at Bellau Woods as "suckers" for getting killed.
   Bellau Woods is a consequential battle in American history, and the ground on which it was fought is venerated by the Marine Corps.  America and its allies stopped the German advance toward Paris there in the spring of 1918.  But Trump, on the same trip, asked aides, "Who were the good guys in this war?"  He also said that he didn't understand why the United States would intervene on the side of the Allies.
   Trump's understanding of concepts such as patriotism, service, and sacrifice has interested me since he expressed contempt for the war record of the late Senator John McCain, who spent more than five years as a prisoner of the North Vietnamese.  "He's not a war hero," Trump said in 2015 while running for the Republican nomination for president.  "I like people who weren't captured."
   There was no precedent in American politics for the expression of this sort of contempt, but the perfomatively patriotic Trump did no damage to his candidacy by attacking McCain in this manner.  Nor did he set his campaign back by attacking the parents of Humayun Khan, an Army captain who was killed in Iraq in 2004.
US Marines at Bellau Woods, 1918

   Trump remained fixated on McCain, one of the few prominent Republicans to continue criticizing him after he won the nomination.  When McCain died, in August 2018, Trump told his senior staff, according to three sources with direct knowledge of this event, "We're not going to support that loser's funeral," and he became furious, according to witnesses, when he saw flags lowered to half-staff.  "What the fuck are we doing that for?  Guy was a fucking loser," the president told aides.  Trump was not invited to McCain's funeral.  (These sources, and others quoted in this article, spoke on the condition of anonymity.  The White House did not return earlier calls for comment, but Alyssa Farah, a White House spokesperson, emailed me this statement shortly after this story was posted: "This report is false.  President Trump holds the military in the highest regard.  He's demonstrated his commitment to them at every turn: delivering on his promise to give our troops a much needed pay raise, increasing military spending, signing critical veterans reforms, and supporting military spouses.  This has no basis in fact.")
   Trump's understanding of heroism has not evolved since he became president.  According to sources with knowledge of the president's views, he seems to genuinely not understand why Americans treat former prisoners of war with respect.  Nor does he understand why pilots who are shot down in combat are honored by the military.  On at least two occasions since becoming president, according to three sources with direct knowledge of his views, Trump referred to former President George H. W. Bush as a "loser" for being shot down by the Japanese as a Navy pilot in World War II.  (Bush escaped capture, but eight other men shot down during the same mission were caught, tortured, and executed by Japanese soldiers.
   When lashing out at critics, Trump often reaches for illogical and corrosive insults, and members of the Bush family have publicly opposed him.  But his cynicism about service and heroism extends even to the World War I dead buried outside Paris - people who were killed more than a quarter century before he was born.  Trump finds the notion of military service difficult to understand, and the idea of volunteering to serve especially incomprehensible.  (The president did not serve in the military; he received a medical deferment from the draft during the Vietnam War because of the alleged presence of bone spurs in his feet.  In the 1990s, Trump said his efforts to avoid contracting sexually transmitted diseases constituted his "personal Vietnam.")
Arlington National Cemetery, Section 60

   On Memorial Day 2017, Trump visited Arlington National Cemetery, a short drive from the White House.  He was accompanied on this visit by John Kelly, who was then the secretary of homeland security, and who would, a short time later, be named the White House chief of staff.  The two men were set to visit Section 60, the 14-acre area of the cemetery that is the burial ground for those killed in America's most recent wars.  Kelly's son Robert is buried in Section 60.  A first lieutenant in the Marine Corps, Robert Kelly was killed in 2010 in Afghanistan.  He was 29.  Trump was meant, on this visit, to join John Kelly in paying respects at his son's grave, and to comfort the families of other fallen service members.  But according to sources with knowledge of this visit, Trump, while standing by Robert Kelly's grave, turned directly to his father and said, "I don't get it.  What was in it for them?"  Kelly (who declined to comment for this story) initially believed, people close to him said, that Trump was making a ham-handed reference to the selflessness of America's all-volunteer force.  But later he came to realize that Trump simply does not understand non-transactional life choices.
   "He can't fathom the idea of doing something for someone other than himself," one of Kelly's friends, a retired four-star general told me.  "He just thinks that anyone who does anything when there's no direct personal gain to be had is a sucker.  There's no money in serving the nation."  Kelly's friend went on to say, "Trump can't imagine anyone else's pain.  That's why he would say this to the father of a fallen marine on Memorial Day in the cemetery where he's buried."
   I've asked numerous general officers over the past year for their analysis of Trump's seeming contempt for military service.  They offer a number of explanations.  Some of his cynicism is rooted in frustration, they say.  Trump, unlike previous presidents, tends to believe that the military, like other departments of the federal government, is beholden only to him, and not the Constitution.  Many senior officers have expressed worry about Trump's understanding of the rules governing the use of armed forces.  This issue came to a head in early June, during demonstrations in Washington, DC, in response to police killings of Black people.  James Mattis, the retired Marine general and former secretary of defense, lambasted Trump at the time for ordering law-enforcement officers to forcibly clear protesters from Lafayette Square, and for using soldiers as props: "When I joined the military, some 50 years ago, I swore an oath to support and defend the Constitution," Mattis wrote.  "Never did I dream that troops taking that same oath would be ordered under any circumstance to violate the Constitutional rights of their fellow citizens - much less to provide a bizarre photo op for the elected commander-in-chief, with military leadership standing alongside."
   Another explanation is more quotidian, and aligns with a broader understanding of Trump's material-focused worldview.  The president believes that nothing is worth doing without the promise of monetary payback, and that talented people who don't pursue riches are "losers."  (According to eyewitnesses, after a White House briefing given by the then-chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Joe Dunford, Trump turned to aides and said, "That guy is smart.  Why did he join the military?")
   Yet another, related, explanation concerns what appears to be Trump's pathological fear of appearing to look like a "sucker" himself.  His capacious definition of sucker includes those whose lose their lives in service to their country, as well as those who are taken prisoner, or are wounded in battle.  "He has a lot of fear," one officer with firsthand knowledge of Trump's views said.  "He doesn't see the heroism in fighting."  Several observers told me that Trump is deeply anxious about dying or being disfigured, and this worry manifests itself as disgust for those who have suffered.  Trump recently claimed that he has received the bodies of slain service members "many, many" times, but in fact he has traveled to Dover Air Force Base, the transfer point for the remains of fallen service members, only four times since becoming president.  In another incident, Trump falsely claimed that he had called "virtually all" of the families of service members who had died during his term, then began rush-shipping condolence letters when families said the president was not telling the truth.
   Trump has been, for the duration of his presidency, fixated on staging military parades, but only of a certain sort.  In a 2018 White House planning meeting for such an event, Trump asked his staff not to include wounded veterans, on grounds that spectators would feel uncomfortable in the presence of amputees.  "Nobody wants to see that," he said.
Senator Tammy Duckworth, who lost her legs in the Iraq War, is still
waiting for Trump to acknowledge that his "good friend" Putin
was paying bounties for dead US soldiers during the past 18 months